Seasonal Signal Tracker
Track the performance of seasonality-based stock picks. We buy stocks with the strongest seasonal patterns and identify stocks with weakest seasonal patterns based on historical calendar data.
📈 Strong Seasonal
LongBest Historical Patterns → Bullish
📉 Weak Seasonal
Avoid/ShortWorst Historical Patterns → Bearish
📊 Seasonal Strategy
Long-Short⚡ Quick Stats
Last 90 DaysLoading seasonal picks...
📚 Understanding Seasonal Signal Tracking
📈 Strong Seasonal Picks
These are stocks that historically perform well during this specific time period. The seasonal score combines average return with win rate to identify the most reliable patterns.
- Higher score = stronger bullish seasonal pattern
- Score = Avg Return × Win Rate × Data Quality
- We expect these to go UP
📉 Weak Seasonal Picks
These are stocks that historically perform poorly during this time period. Negative seasonal scores indicate bearish calendar patterns.
- Lower/negative score = weaker or bearish seasonal pattern
- Based on 20+ years of historical data
- We expect these to go DOWN or underperform
📅 How Seasonal Scores Are Calculated
The seasonal score is calculated as: Avg 5-Day Return × Win Rate × Data Quality Factor. This ensures we favor patterns that are both profitable AND consistent, with more weight given to stocks with longer historical records. The "Years Data" column shows how many years of history support each pick.
⚠️ Important Considerations
- Seasonality is based on calendar patterns, not current market conditions
- Works best when combined with other signals (RSI, Streaks)
- More years of data = more statistically significant pattern
- Major market events can override seasonal tendencies
Disclaimer: Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future results. This tracker is for educational and informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.